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The third quarter of 2024 will be remembered as a turning point for the semiconductor and electronic components industry. Between record-breaking sales, major restructurings and persistent geopolitical tensions, here are the events that shaped the sector between July and September 2024.
📈 Record Rebound in Semiconductor Sales
The global semiconductor market recorded sales of $166 billion in Q3 2024, an increase of +23.2% compared to Q3 2023 and +10.7% more than Q2 2024 — the strongest quarter-to-quarter growth rate since 2016. In September 2024, monthly sales reached $55.3 billion, a historic monthly record.
“The global semiconductor market continued to grow during the third quarter of 2024, with quarter-to-quarter sales increasing at the largest rate since 2016.” — John Neuffer, President and CEO of the SIA
Source: Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA) / WSTS 🔗 https://www.semiconductors.org/global-semiconductor-sales-increase-23-2-in-q3-2024-compared-to-q3-2023-quarter-to-quarter-sales-up-10-7/
🏭 Recovery in Global Semiconductor Manufacturing
According to the SEMI SMM report, Q3 2024 marks the first time in two years that all key semiconductor manufacturing indicators have progressed simultaneously on a quarter-to-quarter basis. IC sales surged +27% year-on-year in Q2 2024 and are expected to rise a further +29% in Q3 2024, surpassing the record levels of 2021 driven by AI-related demand. Memory capital expenditure (CapEx) jumped +34% compared to Q2, fuelled by demand for HBM (High Bandwidth Memory). Installed foundry and logic fab capacity grew +2.0% in Q3 2024.
Source: SEMI — Global Semiconductor Manufacturing Industry Q2 2024 Report 🔗 https://www.semi.org/en/semi-press-releases/global-semiconductor-manufacturing-industry-strengthens-in-q2-2024-semi-reports
🔴 Intel: 15,000 Layoffs and $1.6 Billion Net Loss
In August 2024, Intel announced the elimination of approximately 15,000 positions, representing 15% of its global workforce, following disappointing Q2 results: revenue of $12.8 billion, down 1% year-on-year, and a net loss of $1.61 billion. The company acknowledged its lag in AI against Nvidia and AMD. Intel recorded $2.8 billion in restructuring charges in Q3 2024, with a total of $3.0 billion expected across the full restructuring programme.
Sources:
- Intel Form 8-K SEC Filing Q3 2024 🔗 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0000050863/000005086324000147/intc-20241028.htm
- Fast Company — Intel layoffs and Q2 earnings, August 2024 🔗 https://www.fastcompany.com/91166920/why-are-ai-chip-stocks-down-nvidia-tsmc-arm-intel-layoffs-q2-2024-earnings
- Tom’s Hardware — Intel layoffs announcement, July 2024 🔗 https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/big-tech/intel-allegedly-plans-imminent-lay-off-of-thousands-of-employees-report
🤖 Nvidia Blackwell: Production Ramp-Up, Insatiable Demand
Announced at GTC in March 2024, Nvidia’s new Blackwell architecture includes the B100, B200 accelerators and the GB200 Grace Blackwell Superchip. In Q3 2024, Nvidia confirmed it had shipped customer samples of Blackwell in Q2 and that mass production was scheduled to begin in Q4 2024. Meanwhile, demand for Hopper GPUs (H100) remained exceptionally strong, with Data Center revenue up +154% year-on-year and +16% compared to Q2 2024.
Sources:
- Nvidia Form 8-K SEC Filing Q2 FY2025 🔗 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001045810/000104581024000262/q2fy25cfocommentary.htm
- Data Center Knowledge — Nvidia Blackwell GPU launch, GTC 2024 🔗 https://www.datacenterknowledge.com/data-center-chips/nvidia-launches-next-generation-blackwell-gpus-amid-ai-arms-race-
🌐 A Two-Speed Recovery: AI Strong, Industrial and Automotive Lagging
AI, smartphones and PCs are driving the recovery, while the industrial and automotive segments are showing a significant lag. S&P Global’s Manufacturing PMI New Orders Index showed growth for the first time since March 2023 in May 2024, reaching 50.7 — an encouraging but fragile signal. Manufacturers with high industrial exposure, such as Texas Instruments and STMicroelectronics, recorded revenue declines in these segments during the second half of 2024.
Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence — Semiconductor Supply Chain Q3 2024 Outlook 🔗 https://spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/mi/research-analysis/semiconductor-supply-chain-q3-2024-outlook.html
🇨🇳 Geopolitical Tensions: Tightened US Restrictions, Chinese Response
Washington tightened its export controls on advanced chips destined for China during the summer of 2024. These restrictions are directly impacting semiconductor supply chains, while China continues to advance its domestic chip production capabilities. China nonetheless remains the fastest-growing region for installed manufacturing capacity, even if fab utilisation rates remain subdued. Approximately 30% of semiconductor manufacturers’ revenues come from the Chinese market, making these restrictions particularly sensitive for the industry.
Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence — Semiconductor Supply Chain Q3 2024 Outlook 🔗 https://spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/mi/research-analysis/semiconductor-supply-chain-q3-2024-outlook.html
📦 End of Overstocking, but Uneven Recovery
After several quarters of inventory digestion, IC stock levels recorded a 2.6% decline year-on-year in the first half of 2024 — a sign that the market is beginning to normalise. However, the correction is progressing more slowly than expected in the automotive and industrial sectors. Global average lead times have fallen back below 14 weeks (compared to more than 26 weeks at the peak), but pockets of tightness persist in AI-related components and power electronics for electric vehicles.
Source: SEMI — Global Semiconductor Manufacturing Industry Q2 2024 Report 🔗 https://www.semi.org/en/semi-press-releases/global-semiconductor-manufacturing-industry-strengthens-in-q2-2024-semi-reports
